2011年4月14日星期四

The reality shift

12 April 2011 last updated at 21: 53 GMT Jeremy Bowen by Jeremy Bowen BBC Middle East Editor A Libyan child looks out of the window in Tripoli, 6 April 2011 the Libyan capital not feel not like a city in the war feel a war Tripoli as a city. Sacked a week it no sight or sound of bombing or aircraft for the best part. Libya's capital is isolated and the future is uncertain.

It takes the most one day you come to the next work airport on Djerba, a vacation island in Tunisia. But in Tripoli moves of transport and the shops are open.

The sounds that defiant from Gaddafi regime were a month ago. Now they also confident are, is despite the ongoing air strikes, and the trade and financial sanctions, that Libya.

Government officials and figures associated with Colonel Gaddafi at that time feel is on their side. NATO, seems to be their logic, has done what it can within its UN mandate - and the regime has ridden the forehead to the storm.

An official said that men had the Libyan Government, which is not called national reserve had still, in the army and tribal forces to fight. He also said that Western countries had underestimated Col Gaddafi's support.

Masses of sing Gaddafi followers come to fruition, when a television camera in Tripoli. At quieter times, a more sophisticated narrative of regime comes while officials.

'Constitution was almost'

The official spokesman here told Moussa Ibrahim, me, in Tripoli that "armed uprising of Libya's democratic future has stolen".

Mr Ibrahim, and others, argue that on the way to the reform was in February which rebellion Libya.

The drafting of a Constitution, protection of fundamental rights, was almost completed. Saif al-Islam, Colonel of Gaddafi's son, was pushed, the freedom of the media and tried, promote the growth of civil society.

They remind of the politicians who visited from abroad, such as Tony Blair and Silvio Berlusconi and the businesses that were made, and the close cooperation between Libya and Western intelligence services against violent jihadist movements.

"When Gaddafi was so bad," an official asked, "Why you all here were a few months ago?"

It is still surprise and amusement in Libya's elite, the transformation of the country's pariah friend of the West was interrupted so crucial - and, that it went back to the be a pariah as fast.

Peeling back the layers of reality in Tripoli is not easy.

It is true that there was much talk of reform, although it is more about words than deeds and results.

The man of the new Constitution was produced for the foreign media the other night.

He spoke about how the work was almost done, and how in the four years work had influenced them the US Constitution.

Police State

Unfortunately, said he, after the uprising began, some members of the team was preparing the rebels in Benghazi, a decisive meetings had to be moved.

A boy holds a picture of Muammar Gaddafi at a protest outside the UN offices in Tripoli, 7 April 2011Demonstrations in Tripoli are common Pro-Gaddafi

The question whether an uprising directed was from may be moved more quickly, he had not shrugged his shoulders, the predictable future.

Thwarted reform talk at the same time, the officials, it is also clear that the police state here in Tripoli as strong as ever and ever is.

The other day, we went about 300 metres outside the hotel to record a piece to camera, where most of the international press are housed. Although we an official MINDER had a car with two moved to security police almost immediately to see what we did.

Then, shortly before the recording stopped speak a passerby. He was for about five minutes, not in a friendly manner, by two uniformed police, two police security policemen and our MINDER interrogated. The man was released, but it was a violent reaction to a quick Hello.

Before the bombing, when the governmental xenophobic demonstrations had not yet crushed, was launched it possible sometimes get away from government control, to talk with people.

So, we know that it has real opposition to Col Gaddafi in Tripoli - as well as his regime also real loyalty. It is not possible to judge how many against him - and how many support him.

The demonstrations for the regime, are loud but not large, taking into account the size of the city.

Opponents show no longer. Last Friday, it was an efficient search roadblock cut access to Tajoura in Tripoli's suburbs.

In February and March, it was a hotbed of opposition activity. I could be there then, and saw convincing evidence that protesters had been killed by the security forces. But on this trip, passing Tajoura junction is the closest I've been to get to the area.

Two more vignettes on Tripoli.

A man told me at a pro-Gaddafi demonstration that he would die if he had the leader that he loved. Then he wanted a private Word.

Wanted to say something else? One thing, the camera and another saying, if he goes away, it is common in authoritarian States. But he leaned closer and familiar, that if he said that he would die for their leaders, it it said quietly.

On the same day, a man in a traffic jam in addition to the press-mini bus wait wound to his window.

"Not all believe,", he said. And went without another word.


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